Jeroen Oskam , (2015) “Editorial”, Journal of Tourism Futures, Vol. 1 Iss: 2, pp.91 – 93
In 2010, when the ETFI research team became operational, we were a small, heterogeneous (or multidisciplinary) team of tourism scholars, geographers and economists that started exploring scenario planning methods. My own research interest had been primarily historical, and I found that the future was not unlike the past; with the documented construction of cause‐effect relationships as a common element, the difference was a matter of scope rather than method. To illustrate the need for foresight, we probably all have used the well‐known examples of historical anecdotes such as the horse manure crisis or predictions of the future demand for cars or PCs. But what does a scenario perspective mean for our interpretation of historical events?